Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Neman (Grodno)


	Neman Grodno		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	12.5
	1.16	6.91	16.21
	1.18	5.8	17
	1.22	6.15	14.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	6.34 ↑ (4.75)	15.05 ↑ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
79.1%

Draw
14.7%

Smorgon
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

20%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neman Grodno's performance.

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Neman Grodno - Smorgon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Neman (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neman (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belov M. (G) 19. Kuchinskiy K. 27. Shamurzaev A. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 8. Pantya Y. 15. Evdokimov O. 47. Kozlov M. 9. Pushnyakov S. 24. Yakimov A. 71. Suchkov A. 10. Gweth L.	1. Koltygin A. (G) 5. Firsov A. 20. Tonkevich V. 3. Intsoen C. 77. Bogdanovich I. 2. Bamba M. 7. Levkovets A. (C) 27. Tishko A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 63. Rakhimov A. 10. Sodikov S.
Substitutes
16. Bylinkin N. 18. Kravtsov M. 46. Legchilin A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 21. Mazurich A. 6. Nazarenko A. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 22. Robak N. (G) 17. Zubovich E.	19. Azarko M. (G) 26. Bini K. 9. Chebotar V. 4. Diallo M. 11. Slesarchuk D. 23. Stankevich A.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.	Dorokhovich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Sadovnichiy I. 🟨,
24', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
34', Sodikov S. 🟨,
37', Suchkov A. ↓, Zubovich E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Shamurzaev A. 🟨,
66', Sodikov S. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
68', Gweth L. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
84', Rakhimov A. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
88', Yakimov A. ↓, Legchilin A. ↑,
89', Sadovnichiy I. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Stankevich A. ⚽, Maslovskiy V. (A),
90+5', Tishko A. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neman won 4.

Recent performances by Neman have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Smorgon is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Smorgon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neman is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neman won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neman won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Cup
07.05.25	Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.05.25	ML Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Neman Grodno	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Cup
15.04.25	Neman Grodno - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.05.25	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Naftan - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	ML Vitebsk - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Dinamo Brest - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.24	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	0:0
29.06.24	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	2:1
01.10.23	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	1:3
14.05.23	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	3:1
19.09.21	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	5:0
07.05.21	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	0:2

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