Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Saudi Arabia	17:00	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Neom		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.5
	1.55	4.20	5.25
	1.49	4.05	5.7
	1.53	4.25	6.38
	1.53	4.29	5.6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.3
	1.56	4.17	6.19
	1.51	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	4.16 ↓ (4.3)	5.87 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
61.6%

Draw
22.5%

Abha
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

20.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neom - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 5. Sarr M. 44. Zeze N. 27. Hawsawi I. 14. Al Absi K. 23. Vada V. 15. Al Oyayari A. 10. Benrahma S. 7. Masouras G. 91. Lacazette A. (C)	16. Leon D. (G) 23. Al Dawsari M. 3. Gaari J. 19. Al Fahad A. (C) 37. Hindi A. 12. Al Shamrani K. 17. Darisi A. 8. Al Daajani N. 7. Al Ghamdi F. 14. N'Koudou G. 44. Batshuayi M.
Substitutes
19. Abu Taha M. 2. Al Burayk M. 55. Al Dossary M. 8. Al Ghamdi F. 6. Al Hassan A. 9. Al Othman A. 77. Al Saad M. 70. Camara H. 33. Dagriri A. (G)	21. Al Bouq A. (G) 80. Al Johani S. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Qahtani K. 6. Al Subiani F. 9. Boumedmed K. 29. Dawran M. M. Y. 10. Fekir N. 11. Gory A.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Buric D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Benrahma S. ⚽, Lacazette A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Al Shamrani K. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
58', Batshuayi M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
58', Al Shamrani K. ↓, Al Johani S. ↑,
71', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Fekir N. ↑,
71', Al Dawsari M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
71', Masouras G. ↓, Abu Taha M. ↑,
71', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
79', Al Johani S. 🟨,
83', Al Absi K. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
83', Benrahma S. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
84', Al Fahad A. ↓, Al Qahtani K. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 and 18th in the Relegation - Division 1).

Neom has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Abha is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Neom may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Abha has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Neom is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Neom has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neom against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Neom SC	11	6	1	4	16:9	7	19
18	Abha	10	0	2	8	6:18	-12	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
20.10.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Neom - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
13.10.26	Neom - Al-Shaab Hadramaut	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
10.10.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Neom - Al Fateh	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWTW
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
16.10.26	Al-Qadisiya - Abha	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Al-Diriyah - Abha	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Feiha - Abha	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.01.25	Neom - Abha	2:2
21.08.24	Abha - Neom	0:2

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