Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday


	Neom		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.46	4.1	5.8
	1.49	4.17	6.57
	1.48	4.05	5.98	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.45	4.1	6.06	Watch
	1.46	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	4.05 ↓ (4.34)	5.93 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
62.1%

Draw
22.5%

Abha
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Neom - Abha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Carlos Junior ⚽,
45+9', 2 - 0, Al Zaid A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, Al Dosari M. (Own goal),
73', 2 - 2, Al-Raqwani H. ⚽,
81', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Division 1
16.01.25	Al-Zulfi - Neom	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Neom - Al-Adalh	2:2 ✺
06.01.25	Al-Faisaly - Neom	3:2 ✺
10.12.24	Neom - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:1 ✺
04.12.24	Al-Bukayriyah - Neom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWW
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
17.01.25	Abha - Al-Ain	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Al-Taee - Abha	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Al-Najma - Abha	3:0 ✺
18.12.24	Abha - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Al Jandal - Abha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.08.24	Abha - Neom	0:2

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