Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Neom

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	8
	1.29	5.75	8.75
	1.26	5.7	8.8
	1.23	6.93	10.23
	2.05	1.93	14.45	Watch
	1.22	5.5	8.5
	1.29	6.73	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	5.51 ↓ (5.51)	9.74 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
71.9%

Draw
17.9%

Neom
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

16.8%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

15.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Neom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. (C) 26. Martinez I. 21. Coman K. 20. Angelo 11. Brozovic M. 10. Mane S. 9. Al Hamdan A. 79. Joao Felix	81. Maximiano L. (G) 2. Al Burayk M. (C) 93. Al Saluli A. 44. Zeze N. 27. Hawsawi I. 80. Messi R. 8. Doucoure A. 72. Kone A. 18. Al Haji A. 91. Lacazette A. 10. Benrahma S.
Substitutes
61. Al Buainain M. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 19. Al Hassan A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 83. Al Najdi S. 96. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 29. Ghareeb A. 23. Yahya A.	25. Abdi F. 71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 7. Al Faraj S. 59. Al Khanani A. 47. Al Shanqeeti Y. 51. Carabali J. 95. Fallatah A. 1. Malayekah M. (G)
Coaches
Jesus J.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Al Haji A. 🟨,
27', Brozovic M. 🟨,
33', Kone A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Hawsawi I. ↓, Abdi F. ↑,
64', Boushal N. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
64', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
67', Al Haji A. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,
84', Al Burayk M. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
87', Martinez I. 🟨,
90', Ghareeb A. 🟨,
90+1', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
90+1', Martinez I. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Simakan M. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
90+8', Angelo ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

Al-Nassr is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neom's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Nassr is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Nassr Riyadh - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.86%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
28.02.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Arkadag	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.02.26	Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
28.02.26	Neom - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Al-Feiha - Neom	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Neom	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Neom	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Neom - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3

Upcoming Matches