Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 2
Angola	19:00	Z Sports 1
Armenia	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	SPOTV Asia
Austria	20:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Brazil	15:00	SporTV
Cambodia	01:00	MyTV
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 9
Czech Republic	20:00	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Estonia	21:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
France	20:00	DAZN France
Georgia	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:00	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hungary	20:00	TV2 Play Premium
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:00	SPOTV, Vidio
Italy	20:00	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	21:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Go, SPOTV
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Moldova	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	02:00	SPOTV
Nigeria	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	02:00	SPOTV
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	21:00	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
South Africa	20:00	SupeSport ESPN
South Korea	03:00	SPOTV
Spain	20:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	01:00	SPOTV
Turkmenistan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	14:00	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus
Uzbekistan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Vietnam	01:00	SPOTV
International	18:00	OneFootball TV, SPL Watch


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Neom

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.46	4.50	6.25
	1.41	4.6	6.1
	1.44	4.92	6.53
	1.44	4.8	6.1	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6.15
	1.44	4.71	6.24
	1.43	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	4.7 ↑ (4.6)	6.13 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
65.1%

Draw
19.8%

Neom
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

19.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.8%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Neom Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 23. Yahya A. 20. Angelo 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Samu Costa 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	1. Bulka M. (G) 55. Al Dossary M. 44. Zeze N. 5. Sarr M. 2. Al Burayk M. (C) 15. Al Oyayari A. 6. Al Hassan A. 19. Abu Taha M. 14. Al Absi K. 91. Lacazette A. 10. Benrahma S.
Substitutes
8. Abdulkareem H. 22. Al-Alwan A. (G) 9. Al Hamdan A. 14. Al Najei S. 6. Al Nasser S. 70. Aman A. 60. Haqawi S. 50. Qasheesh M. 46. Sallem Y.	4. Al Dawsari K. 8. Al Ghamdi F. 75. Al Rammah K. 77. Al Saad M. 70. Camara H. 33. Dagriri A. (G) 27. Hawsawi I. 7. Masouras G. 23. Vada V.
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
32', Masouras G. 🟨,
45+5', Al Burayk M. 🟨,
45+6', Ronaldo C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Abu Taha M. 🟨,
57', Al Hassan A. ↓, Vada V. ↑,
57', Al Absi K. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Joao Felix ⚽, Angelo (A),
63', Samu Costa 🟨,
72', Angelo ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
76', Al Dossary M. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
76', Abu Taha M. ↓, Al Dawsari K. ↑,
77', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
81', Yahya A. ↓, Aman A. ↑,
90+1', Mane S. ↓, Haqawi S. ↑,
90+1', Joao Felix ↓, Al Najei S. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 6th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Neom may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Al-Nassr holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nassr has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Nassr against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Nassr	11	9	1	1	28:11	17	28
5	Neom SC	12	7	1	4	18:10	8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neftchi Fargona	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
09.10.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLTW
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
17.10.26	Neom - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
13.10.26	Neom - Al-Shaab Hadramaut	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
10.10.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Neom - Al Fateh	4:2 ✺
07.09.26	Al-Hilal - Neom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
07.03.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom	1:0
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3

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