Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Aloula


	Neom		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5
	1.47	4.2	5.4
	1.5	4.43	5.46
	1.47	4.4	5.55
	1.39	4.33	6.7	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)	4.28 ↓ (4.6)	5.59 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
62.4%

Draw
21.3%

Al-Faisaly
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.5%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Neom - Al Faisaly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Neom will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Carlos Junior ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Al Hassan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 3 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Makin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 15).

Neom is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League

Neom is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Faisaly has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Neom is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Neom will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Division 1
29.04.25	Jeddah - Neom	0:6 ✺
22.04.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Neom	0:3 ✺
16.04.25	Neom - Al-Bukayriyah	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Al-Batin - Neom	2:7 ✺
03.04.25	Neom - Al-Taee	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
28.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Batin	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Al Jandal - Al-Faisaly	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Safa - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
06.01.25	Al-Faisaly - Neom	3:2

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