Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Al-Safa		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.7	3.4	1.87
	4.08	3.42	1.82	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	4.23	3.36	1.77	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (4.02)	3.43 ↓ (3.68)	1.82 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa
23.7%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Faisaly
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.8%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Al Safa - Al Faisaly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Al-Faisaly (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 1 - 0, Al Zahrani H. ⚽,
45+18', 🟥,
45+18', 1 - 1, Lucas Souza ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Morato ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Al-Safa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Faisaly is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Faisaly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Safa have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Faisaly is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Safa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Safa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
02.04.25	Ohud Medina - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Batin - Al-Safa	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Al-Safa - Al-Taee	1:4 ✺
03.03.25	Neom - Al-Safa	5:1 ✺
26.02.25	Al Jandal - Al-Safa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
04.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Zulfi	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Al-Najma - Al-Faisaly	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
25.11.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Safa	1:2
16.03.24	Al-Safa - Al-Faisaly	3:1
12.11.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Safa	2:0

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