Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Neom		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.66	4.00	4.60
	1.6	3.85	4.7
	1.69	4.05	4.93
	1.64	4	4.89	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.85
	1.66	4.09	5.1
	1.63	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.97 ↑ (3.85)	4.8 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
57%

Draw
23.5%

Al Fateh
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Neom - Al Fateh Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bulka M. (G) 15. Al Oyayari A. 5. Sarr M. 44. Zeze N. 27. Hawsawi I. 77. Al Saad M. 18. Hejji A. 72. Kone A. 14. Al Absi K. 91. Lacazette A. (C) 70. Camara H.	1. Semper A. (G) 87. Bin Mahmoud 8. Lixandru M. 4. Al Jari Z. 16. Al Khaibari A. I. 6. Al Hassan A. 28. Youssouf Z. 80. Al Abdulwahed F. 11. Batna M. (C) 9. Kanga W. 10. Haraslin L.
Substitutes
19. Abu Taha M. 22. Al Anzi A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 55. Al Dossary M. 8. Al Ghamdi F. 6. Al Hassan A. 33. Dagriri A. (G) 7. Masouras G. 23. Vada V.	94. Al Enezi W. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 25. Al Sahihi M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 63. Al Shqaq M. 7. Al Zubaidi F. 20. Essadak H. 19. Kelder R. 21. Ramos Jefferson
Coaches
Galtier C.	Al Atwi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Al Absi K. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Kone A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Batna M. ⚽,
42', Lixandru M. 🟨,
45+5', Galtier C. 🟨,
45+6', Galtier C. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Kone A. ⚽, Al Saad M. (A),
64', 2 - 2, Kanga W. ⚽,
65', Al Absi K. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Lacazette A. ⚽, Hawsawi I. (A),
75', Al Saad M. ↓, Vada V. ↑,
76', Hawsawi I. ↓, Abu Taha M. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Vada V. ⚽, Abu Taha M. (A),
81', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
81', Bin Mahmoud ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
81', Haraslin L. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
81', Al Abdulwahed F. ↓, Essadak H. ↑,
87', Kanga W. ↓, Ramos Jefferson ↑,
90', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Dawsari K. ↑,
90', Hejji A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 15).

Neom has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al Fateh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Neom is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Neom SC: 1.66% Al Fateh: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	7	5	0	2	13:6	7	15
15	Al Fateh	7	0	3	4	4:11	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Neom - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
07.09.26	Al-Hilal - Neom	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Neom - Al-Khaleej	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Riyadh - Neom	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Faisaly - Neom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLW
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
09.09.26	Al Fateh - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
02.05.26	Al Fateh - Neom	2:2
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1

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