Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Neom		Al-Safa

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.8	11
	1.2	6.36	12.21
	1.2	5.99	11.57	Watch
	1.18	6	10
	1.25	7.27	7.79	Watch
	1.2	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	6.2 ↑ (4.6)	10.6 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
76.5%

Draw
14.9%

Al-Safa
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

17.6%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neom's performance.

Al-Safa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Neom - Al Safa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Alfa Semedo ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Alfa Semedo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
83', 4 - 0, Abdou A. ⚽,
87', 5 - 0, Al Alamri M. ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, Al Sahlawi M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Neom in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Safa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Neom is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neom won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Division 1
24.02.25	Al Hazem - Neom	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Neom - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Al-Ain - Neom	0:1 ✺
04.02.25	Neom - Al Jubail	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT
- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
26.02.25	Al Jandal - Al-Safa	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Al-Safa - Jeddah	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Al Hazem - Al-Safa	3:0 ✺
10.02.25	Al-Najma - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Al-Safa - Al-Adalh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.10.24	Al-Safa - Neom	1:3

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