Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Neom		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	9
	1.29	5.3	8.4
	1.49	4.51	5.5
	1.28	5.67	9.43
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.25	5.15	9.45	Watch
	1.28	5.33	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)	5.14 ↑ (4.23)	8.54 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
71.1%

Draw
18%

Al-Najma
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neom's performance.

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Najma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Neom - Al Najma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Neom will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neom will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 26. Hegazy A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 11. Al Ali H. 8. Doucoure A. 72. Kone A. 10. Benrahma S. 71. Abdu A. 91. Lacazette A. (C)	1. Victor Braga (G) 6. Al Shammari K. 4. Al Haleel N. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 19. Al Abdulraziq F. 8. Al Shammeri A. 20. Flores D. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 2. Vitao 9. Quioto R. 98. Boutobba B.
Substitutes
40. Al Asmari A. 7. Al Faraj S. 20. Al Khaibri T. 93. Al Saluli A. 57. Balanta G. 27. Hawsawi I. 18. Hejji A. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 50. Ozaybi R. (G)	77. Al Dubais H. 18. Al Harabi A. 24. Al Hawsawi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 22. Al Muqaitib K. (G) 10. Al Mutairi F. 15. Al Najjar A. 55. Al Nakhli A. 14. Jasim A.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Al Tulayhi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Abdi F. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Zeze N. ⚽,
64', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
67', Doucoure A. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
71', Al Abdulraziq F. ↓, Al Hawsawi A. ↑,
75', Abdu A. ↓, Al Khaibri T. ↑,
75', Benrahma S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
77', Flores D. 🟨,
82', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
82', Quioto R. ↓, Al Mutairi F. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Al Dawsari K. ⚽, Hejji A. (A),
90+5', 2 - 1, Boutobba B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Al Shammari K. 🟨,
90+6', Al Ali H. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In this match, Neom is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neom won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Neom	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
30.10.25	Al-Kholood - Neom	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	Neom - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
22.11.25	Damac - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Najma - Al-Hilal	2:4 ✺
31.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
19.02.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:0
01.10.24	Al-Najma - Neom	2:3

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