Match Info

I Lyga - Round 17

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Neptūnas		FA Šiauliai B

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.40
	1.34	4.70	6.50
	1.48	4.40	4.75
	1.50	4.57	4.82	Watch
	1.47	4.30	4.65
	1.66	4.22	4.12
	1.33	4.9	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.33)	4.44 ↓ (5.05)	5.07 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
61.6%

Draw
20.5%

FA Šiauliai B
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

18%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

16.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neptūnas's form might have worsened.

FA Šiauliai B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FA Šiauliai B than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FA Šiauliai B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neptūnas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Jurgelevicius D. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Bierontas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 4.

Neptūnas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

FA Šiauliai B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Neptūnas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 3.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
15	Siauliai 2	25	4	5	16	27:56	-29	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
20.07.26	Transinvest 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Neptūnas - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWW
- FA Šiauliai B
Lithuanian Division 2
19.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	FA Šiauliai B - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai B	5:0 ✺
14.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
13.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	0:0
22.07.25	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	2:3
07.03.25	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	5:1
23.08.24	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1
29.03.24	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	1:2
20.08.23	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	3:0
02.04.23	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	1:1

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