The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neratovice–Byškovice 30.2%
Draw 24.6%
Varnsdorf 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
25.1%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
25.6%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neratovice–Byškovice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neratovice–Byškovice than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Neratovice–Byškovice - Varnsdorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ordelt A. (G) 17. Chabera J. 16. Conk M. 2. Havel J. 12. Havranek J. 5. Hronek P. 21. Jakoubek O. 20. Magdi O. 18. Safir L. 6. Sladovnik F. 4. Sustr D. (C)
1. Roze V. (G) 24. Berezka D. 15. Boryshpolets S. 12. Emmer J. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 3. Hora J. 13. Hudak J. 20. Kovbasa A. 8. Lopez M. 14. Matviychuk I. 4. Tymoshenko I. (C)
Substitutes
3. Barta S. 9. Nerger F. 22. Novotny O. (G) 10. Vopat L. 7. Wexler S. 19. Zaboj M.
16. Ahile T. 6. Jandac L. 10. Senko K. 33. Shnurko D. (G) 11. Sirenko O. 2. Sokol J. 23. Vit M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Matviychuk I. ⚽,
45', Hora J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Berezka D. ↓, Senko K. ↑,
61', Havel J. 🟨,
63', Sustr D. ↓, Nerger F. ↑,
66', Conk M. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
72', Magdi O. ↓, Vopat L. ↑,
79', Havranek J. ↓, Zaboj M. ↑,
79', Chabera J. ↓, Wexler S. ↑,
79', Hora J. ↓, Jandac L. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Emmer J. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+1', Hudak J. ↓, Sirenko O. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sladovnik F. ⚽,
Preview
Neratovice has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Varnsdorf has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Neratovice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Neratovice has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Neratovice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Neratovice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Varnsdorf
8
3
3
2
13:13
0
12
12
Neratovice
9
2
3
4
8:18
-10
9
Last Results with these Odds
Varnsdorf - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.