Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Nereto		Castelnuovo Vomano

	1	X	2
	5.94	4.38	1.4
	6	4.33	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (5.04)	4.36 ↑ (3.62)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nereto
15.2%

Draw
20.9%

Castelnuovo Vomano
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.2%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nereto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Castelnuovo Vomano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castelnuovo Vomano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nereto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castelnuovo Vomano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Nereto - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nereto will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Castelnuovo Vomano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nereto: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Nereto has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castelnuovo Vomano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Nereto have a series of guest games.

In this match Castelnuovo Vomano is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castelnuovo Vomano to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nereto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nereto FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.22	Porto DAscoli - Nereto	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Trastevere - Nereto	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Montegiorgio - Nereto	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Nereto - Roma City	0:1 ✺
30.03.22	Aurora Alto Casertano - Nereto	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Roma City - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
30.03.22	Trastevere - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Chieti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Nereto	3:3

Nereto - Castelnuovo Vomano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide