Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.71	2.92	2.51
	2.78	2.83	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.01)	2.88 ↓ (2.98)	2.55 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
33%

Draw
31.5%

Notaresco
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

30.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notaresco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notaresco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Castelnuovo Vomano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Nicolò Notaresco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castelnuovo Vomano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelnuovo Vomano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.03.22	Trastevere - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Chieti	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.03.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Sassari Torres	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
13.03.22	Recanatese - Castelnuovo Vomano	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Cynthialbalonga - Castelnuovo Vomano	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 TWLWW
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.03.22	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	3:0 ✺
26.03.22	Matese - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Notaresco - Fano	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Vastese - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	Notaresco - Porto DAscoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:3
14.04.21	Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0
23.12.20	Castelnuovo Vomano - Notaresco	1:2

Castelnuovo Vomano - Notaresco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide