Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nereto		Trastevere

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Nereto
12.4%

Draw
21.7%

Trastevere
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18%

25.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.1%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nereto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nereto's form might have worsened.

Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trastevere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nereto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trastevere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Nereto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trastevere is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Trastevere have a series of home games.

In this match Trastevere is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nereto FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Roma City - Nereto	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Nereto - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Recanatese - Nereto	6:0 ✺
31.10.21	Nereto - Montegiorgio	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Pineto - Nereto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Trastevere - Porto DAscoli	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Trastevere - Roma City	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Trastevere - Vis Artena	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
31.10.21	Trastevere - Aurora Alto Casertano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Nereto - Trastevere