Match Info
Vtora liga - Round 10Date: 20 September 2026, SundayLocation: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)
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Nesebar |
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Beroe Stara Zagora |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.40 |
2.95 |
2.63 |
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3.10 |
2.73 |
2.37 |
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2.85 |
2.96 |
2.51 |
 Watch |
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3.05 |
2.70 |
2.30 |
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2.70 |
3.09 |
2.58 |
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2.2 |
3 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.18) |
2.91 ↓
(3.01) |
2.57 ↓
(3.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nesebar
33.4% | Draw
31.2% | Beroe Stara Zagora
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nesebar's form might have worsened.Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beroe Stara Zagora's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nesebar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Nesebar - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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| 1.  Goshev I. (G)
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| 21. Bandev N.
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| 4. Dinev D.
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| 20. Dinev Z.
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| 23.  El Yahyaoui H.
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| 10. Ferrer I. (C)
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| 30. Kazakov I.
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| 24. Mitev H.
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| 6. Mitev I.
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| 18. Rusenov S.
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| 7. Veshev S.
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| Substitutes |
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| 22.  Bertino G.
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| 9.  Diamanka C.
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| 8. Dual W.
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| 13. Filipov V.
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| 11. Georgiev M.
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| 5. Hristov M.
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| 3. Rusenov K.
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| 19.  Yanev D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 26', 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 3, ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 86', 🟥,
- 88', 4 - 3, ⚽,
- 89', 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th and 6th).In recent outings, Nesebar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Beroe shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins). In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
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| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 17 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Beroe Stara Zagora - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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