The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pirin Blagoevgrad 22.5%
Draw 27.3%
Spartak Pleven 50.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.2%
28%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
25.6%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirin Blagoevgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Pleven Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
76. Kostov K. (G) 14. Bliznakov A. 25. Dimanchev G. 18. Gogov V. 3. Ivanov D. 9. Kokalkov M. 30. Kostov I. 5. Kostov Y. 21. Petsev K. 80. Stefanov M. 10. Tasev T.
99. Petrov P. (G) 24. Adelani S. 25. Antonov P. 6. Ivanov V. 22. Kozhuharov A. 8. Marinov R. 27. Neves A. 20. Spasov P. 26. Stoyanov D. 4. Trifonov M. 21. Velchev K.
Substitutes
19. Banev K. 20. Georgiev M. 7. Ivanov I. 29. Kostov S. 23. Kurbanov K. 11. Rodopski R. 99. Stoyanov P. (G) 17. Zanev D.
17. Dimitrov G. 9. Ignatov Petrov A. 16. Ivanov I. 23. Lucas Macedo 19. Pehlivanov Y. 66. Petkov S. 10. Shopov V. 14. Thiesen C. 30. Tugay I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
47', 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 13th in the Vtora liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 4.
Pirin Blagoevgrad is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak Pleven has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Spartak Pleven for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Pirin Blagoevgrad has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:7 (averaging 2.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pirin Blagoevgrad against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).