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Current Win Probability
Netherlands 26.1%
Draw 31%
Argentina 43%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
29.8%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.8%
55%
Netherlands - Argentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
302 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 67 - 22.2%). Argentina will win (votes: 166 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 69 - 22.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 49.4% – 60.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Netherlands was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, has a chance of semi-finals (42%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win world cup (7%).
Argentina was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, has a good chance of semi-finals (58%), has a chance of final (24%), has a small chance of win world cup (13%).
Argentina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Argentina will have a small advantage in this match.
There are questionable in Netherlands: de Vrij S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Argentina: Martinez La.
(Ankle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Ankle Injury)
de Paul R.
(Hip Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.