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Current Win Probability
Poland 11.3%
Draw 21.1%
Argentina 67.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.2%
24.8%
57%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poland's form might have worsened.
Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentina's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.1%
11.7%
71.2%
Poland - Argentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
299 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 51 - 17.1%). Argentina will win (votes: 213 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 35 - 11.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 66.1% – 76.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Poland has a chance of 1st place (36%), has a chance of 2nd place (39%), has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of quarter-finals (25%), has a small chance of semi-finals (9%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
Argentina has a good chance of 1st place (57%), has a chance of 2nd place (20%), has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a chance of quarter-finals (50%), has a chance of semi-finals (30%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win world cup (7%).