Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, SportKlub 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 2, TV5, V Sport 1
France	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	SINDOnews TV
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 3, NPO Start
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 At Sea
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+


	Netherlands		Spain

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	3.3	3.55	2.25
	3.08	3.4	2.38
	3.26	3.56	2.24	Watch
	3	3.3	2.3
	3.32	3.57	2.31	Watch
	3.3	3.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.71)	3.44 ↑ (3.44)	2.28 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 1

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
30.1%

Draw
27.8%

Spain
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Netherlands's form might have worsened.

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	34.9%	53.5%

Netherlands - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 9 - 10.7%). Spain will win (votes: 45 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 42.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) Brighton 2. Geertruida L. RB Leipzig 6. van Hecke J. P. Brighton 4. van Dijk V. (C) Liverpool 5. Hato J. Ajax 14. Reijnders T. AC Milan 19. Kluivert J. Bournemouth 21. de Jong F. Barcelona 12. Frimpong J. Bayer Leverkusen 10. Depay M. Corinthians 11. Gakpo C. Liverpool	23. Simon U. (G) Ath Bilbao 2. Porro P. Tottenham 5. Le Normand R. Atl. Madrid 4. Cubarsi P. Barcelona 22. Cucurella M. Chelsea 20. Pedri Barcelona 18. Zubimendi M. Real Sociedad 8. Ruiz F. PSG 19. Yamal L. Barcelona 7. Morata A. (C) Galatasaray 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao
Substitutes
22. Baas Y. Ajax 9. Brobbey B. Ajax 15. de Ligt M. Manchester United 23. Flekken M. (G) Brentford 8. Koopmeiners T. Juventus 17. Lang N. PSV 18. Malen D. Aston Villa 13. Olij N. (G) Sparta Rotterdam 7. Simons X. RB Leipzig 16. Taylor K. Ajax 20. Wieffer M. Brighton	16. Baena A. Villarreal 15. Garcia A. Bayer Leverkusen 3. Grimaldo A. Bayer Leverkusen 14. Huijsen D. Bournemouth 6. Merino M. Arsenal 12. Mingueza O. Celta Vigo 10. Olmo D. Barcelona 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad 9. Perez A. Villarreal 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 13. Remiro A. (G) Real Sociedad 11. Samu FC Porto
Coaches
Koeman R.	de la Fuente L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Pedri (A),
28', 1 - 1, Gakpo C. ⚽, Kluivert J. (A),
41', Cubarsi P. ↓, Huijsen D. ↑,
45+1', Gakpo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Reijnders T. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
61', Huijsen D. 🟨,
66', Pedri ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
66', Yamal L. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
66', Morata A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
72', Perez A. 🟨,
73', de Jong F. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
73', Kluivert J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
79', van Dijk V. 🟨,
82', Hato J. 🟥,
84', Depay M. ↓, de Ligt M. ↑,
84', Ruiz F. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
90+1', Reijnders T. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Merino M. ⚽, Williams N. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Spain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
19.11.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Netherlands	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Netherlands - Hungary	4:0 ✺
14.10.24	Germany - Netherlands	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Hungary - Netherlands	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Netherlands - Germany	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTT
- Spain
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Spain - Switzerland	3:2 ✺
15.11.24	Denmark - Spain	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Spain - Serbia	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Spain - Denmark	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Switzerland - Spain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.11.20	Netherlands - Spain	1:1
31.03.15	Netherlands - Spain	2:0
FIFA World Cup
13.06.14	Spain - Netherlands	1:5

Netherlands - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide