Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3, Stan Sport
Austria	A Spor, DAZN, RTL
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	NPO 1, NPO 3, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	A Spor, Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Netherlands		Germany

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.70	2.50
	2.40	3.60	2.50
	2.60	3.65	2.48
	2.64	3.76	2.62
	2.71	3.84	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.55
	2.66	3.79	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.29)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.53 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Netherlands
36.8%

Draw
25.6%

Germany
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	32.6%	34.9%

Netherlands - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). Germany will win (votes: 15 - 34.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 32.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 20.7% – 49.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 2 - 20%). Germany (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Netherlands (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 5.5 - over (6.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Netherlands (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Germany (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) Brighton 22. Dumfries D. Real Madrid 6. van Hecke J. P. Tottenham 4. van Dijk V. (C) Liverpool 15. van de Ven M. Tottenham 8. Gravenberch R. Liverpool 19. Timber Q. Crystal Palace 7. Summerville C. Al Hilal 14. Reijnders T. Al Qadsiah 11. Gakpo C. Liverpool 9. Brobbey B. Sunderland	1. ter Stegen M. (G) Ajax 13. Treu P. Freiburg 4. Tah J. Bayern Munich 15. Schlotterbeck N. Dortmund 18. Brown N. Bayern Munich 8. Nmecha F. Dortmund 6. Kimmich J. (C) Bayern Munich 19. Adeyemi K. Barcelona 11. Amiri N. Mainz 9. Schade K. Brentford 7. Havertz K. Arsenal
Substitutes
5. Ake N. Fenerbahce 23. Flekken M. (G) Bayer Leverkusen 12. Frimpong J. Liverpool 2. Geertruida L. PSV 3. Hato J. Chelsea 20. Koopmeiners T. Juventus 10. Lang N. Napoli 17. Meerdink M. AZ Alkmaar 13. Roefs R. (G) Sunderland 16. Til G. PSV 21. van Bommel R. PSV 18. Veerman J. Dortmund	22. Behrens H. Augsburg 2. Bisseck Y. Inter 12. Dahmen F. (G) Augsburg 23. Ebnoutalib Y. Eintracht Frankfurt 5. Engelhardt Y. Freiburg 17. Fuhrich C. VfB Stuttgart 20. Gnabry S. Bayern Munich 21. Nubel A. (G) Besiktas 3. Rosenfelder M. Freiburg 16. Stach A. Leeds 14. Vagnoman J. VfB Stuttgart
Coaches
Xavi	Klopp J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Timber Q. 🟨,
24', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
30', Havertz K. ↓, Ebnoutalib Y. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Nmecha F. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
35', Brobbey B. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Timber Q. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
64', Schade K. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
64', Nmecha F. ↓, Stach A. ↑,
68', Amiri N. 🟨,
68', Dumfries D. 🟨,
80', Amiri N. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,
80', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
83', Reijnders T. ↓, Til G. ↑,
83', Summerville C. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Gakpo C. ⚽, van Bommel R. (A),

Preview

Netherlands is ranked FIFA: 8., and Germany is ranked FIFA: 10..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 1.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:13 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Germany: 6.99% Netherlands: 6.41%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
FIFA World Cup
29.06.26	Netherlands - Morocco	1:2 penalties ✺
25.06.26	Tunisia - Netherlands	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Netherlands - Sweden	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	Netherlands - Japan	2:2 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	Netherlands - Uzbekistan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWTW
- Germany
FIFA World Cup
29.06.26	Germany - Paraguay	1:2 penalties ✺
25.06.26	Ecuador - Germany	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Germany - Ivory Coast	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Germany - Curaçao	7:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	USA - Germany	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.24	Germany - Netherlands	1:0
10.09.24	Netherlands - Germany	2:2
Friendly
26.03.24	Germany - Netherlands	2:1
29.03.22	Netherlands - Germany	1:1
UEFA Euro
06.09.19	Germany - Netherlands	2:4
24.03.19	Netherlands - Germany	2:3
UEFA Nations League
19.11.18	Germany - Netherlands	2:2

Netherlands - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide