Match Info

AUSTRALIA & OCEANIA: World Championship - Qualification - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday

Location: HFC Bank Stadium (Suva)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+ app


	New Caledonia		Papua New Guinea

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.75	3.58	4.25
	1.78	3.69	3.93	Watch
	1.72	3.72	5.05
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.25)	3.6 ↑ (3.1)	4.52 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Caledonia
53.8%

Draw
25.7%

Papua New Guinea
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Caledonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Caledonia's performance.

Papua New Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Papua New Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. New Caledonia will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Papua New Guinea will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Caledonia: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nyikeine R. (G) Hienghene Sport 19. Athale J. St Quentin 6. Bako P. L. Central Sport 3. Deplanque a. 10. Gope-Fenepej G. Saint-Pryve 9. Katrawa H. 2. Kenon J. Vertou 7. Mathelon M. Tiga Sport 5. Ranchain F. Gaitcha 8. Welepane S. Tiga Sport 11. Zeoula C. (C) Chauvigny	28. Warisan R. (G) Lae City 17. Eddie N. Hekari Utd 3. Haro G. Hekari Utd 2. Joe D. Hekari Utd 8. Joe J. 6. Kepo A. Hekari Utd 5. Kepu K. Hekari Utd 4. Komolong A. (C) Lae City 12. Sakael S. 13. Semmy T. Melbourne Knights 14. Simon E. Lae City
Substitutes
14. Ausu B. 17. Bearune Y. 4. Gope F. Magenta 22. Haewegene G. Magenta 15. Iekawe P. 20. Omei J. 12. Partodikromo M. Worcester 21. Schmidt T. (G) Lossi 13. Tufele D. 16. Ulile M. (G) Magenta 18. Waia G.	15. Arah K. 26. Asar J. 27. Biasu C. (G) Hekari Utd 22. Biwa L. 7. Gunemba R. Lautoka 10. Naime R. Hekari Utd 9. Simon O. Hekari Utd 19. Talau J. Lae City 23. Tateng A. 18. Tiampo B. Lae City 1. Tomare D. (G) Hekari Utd 11. Yasasa Y. Hekari Utd

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Athale J. (Pen),
45', 2 - 0, Gope-Fenepej G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Kepo A. ↓, Naime R. ↑,
57', Eddie N. ↓, Simon O. ↑,
57', Simon E. ↓, Asar J. ↑,
63', Welepane S. ↓, Ausu B. ↑,
75', Kenon J. 🟨,
76', Katrawa J. ↓, Haewegene G. ↑,
76', Zeoula C. ↓, Partodikromo M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Semmy T. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Haewegene G. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
87', Joe J. ↓, Gunemba R. ↑,
90+2', Gope-Fenepej G. ↓, Waia G. ↑,

Preview

In this match New Caledonia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches New Caledonia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Caledonia
Pacific Games Football
27.11.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Cook Islands - New Caledonia	0:8
Friendly
14.10.23	Solomon Islands - New Caledonia	1:0 ✺
11.10.23	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Papua New Guinea
OFC Nations Cup
22.06.24	Samoa - Papua New Guinea	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Papua New Guinea - Tahiti	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Papua New Guinea - Fiji	1:5 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Central Africa - Papua New Guinea	4:0 ✺
22.03.24	Sri Lanka - Papua New Guinea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.10.23	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:3
FIFA World Cup
21.03.22	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:0
OFC Nations Cup
29.05.16	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:1

New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide