Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Papua New Guinea		New Caledonia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.15	3.40	3.20
	2.12	3.35	3.15
	2.33	3.65	3.01
	2.25	3.51	2.81
	2.25	3.55	2.95
	2.17	3.4	3.08
	2.16	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.8)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	2.99 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papua New Guinea
42.1%

Draw
26.9%

New Caledonia
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

27.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papua New Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Papua New Guinea's performance.

New Caledonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Caledonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Papua New Guinea will win (votes: 3 - 75%). New Caledonia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Warisan R. (G) Lae City 8. Allen A. 2. Joe D. PNG Hekari 6. Kepo A. PNG Hekari 10. Naime R. Labasa 17. Namuesh F. Morobe Wawens 16. Rani S. PNG Hekari 5. Samol L. Lae City 13. Semmy T. Melbourne Knights 9. Simon O. 3. Vela E.	1. Ulile M. (G) Magenta 10. Dahite J. (C) Hienghene Sport 15. Decoire C. 8. Diko G. 14. Iekawe P. Tiga Sport 3. Iopue F. 18. Qaeze S. 9. Read W. Tiga Sport 6. Teanyouen K. 12. Tufele D. 5. Wahiobe N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Dahite J. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
29', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Papua New Guinea is ranked FIFA: 168., and New Caledonia is ranked FIFA: 151..

New Caledonia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Papua New Guinea has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papua New Guinea
Friendly
17.09.26	Papua New Guinea - Vanuatu	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Vanuatu - Papua New Guinea	1:2 ✺
18.12.24	Solomon Islands - Papua New Guinea	2:3 ✺
15.12.24	Papua New Guinea - Fiji	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
17.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWTL
- New Caledonia
Friendly
21.09.26	New Caledonia - Solomon Islands	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
26.03.26	New Caledonia - Jamaica	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.10.25	Gibraltar - New Caledonia	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	New Caledonia - New Zealand	0:3 ✺
20.03.25	New Caledonia - Tahiti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea	3:1
Friendly
11.10.23	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:3
FIFA World Cup
21.03.22	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:0
OFC Nations Cup
29.05.16	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:1

Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide