Match Info

AUSTRALIA & OCEANIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Semi-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Wellington Regional Stadium (Wellington)

Where to Watch on TV:


New-zealand	TVNZ+
World	FIFA+


	New Caledonia		Tahiti

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.59	3.92	4.87	Watch
	1.66	4	5.1
	1.63	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.32)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	4.86 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Caledonia
56.6%

Draw
24.5%

Tahiti
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Caledonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Caledonia's performance.

Tahiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tahiti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

New Caledonia - Tahiti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New Caledonia will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Caledonia: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nyikeine R. (G) Hienghene Sport 19. Athale J. St Quentin 10. Gope-Fenepej G. Saint-Pryve 6. Jeno A. Beitar Jerusalem 9. Katrawa J. 8. Kenon J. Saint-Philbert 7. Mathelon M. Tiga Sport 5. Ranchain F. Gaitcha 15. Richard T. Mont Dore 4. Wadenges C. Besancon FC 11. Zeoula C. (C) Chauvigny	16. Teamotuaitau T. (G) Venus 21. Degrumelle M. 7. Kaspard E. Tefana 18. Keck T. Venus 17. Lossec T. 9. Mathon B. Saint-Jean 3. Paama M. Pirae 5. Poma P. Venus 11. Shan M. Venus 8. Tehau R. Venus 10. Tehau T. (C) Venus
Substitutes
3. Bearune E. Hienghene Sport 17. Bearune Y. 22. Haewegene G. Magenta 2. Iwa B. Qanono Sports 23. Partodikromo M. Worcester 21. Schmidt T. (G) Lossi 18. Simane D. ASPTT Dijon 13. Sotirio J. Sydney FC 16. Ulile M. (G) Magenta 20. Waia G. 14. Waya L. 12. Welepane S. Tiga Sport	6. Barbe K. Venus 23. Decoret F. (G) Pirae 19. Flores M. 15. Hapipi F. 12. Heitaa M. Venus 13. Papaura F. 20. Snow V. AS Dragon 1. Tamatai T. (G) Venus 14. Teniau M. Venus 4. Tetuaroa V. 2. Tiatia T. Pirae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bako P. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Katrawa J. ↓, Waya L. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Gope-Fenepej G. ⚽,
59', Tehau R. 🟨,
65', Zeoula C. ↓, Welepane S. ↑,
70', Athale J. 🟨,
70', Keck T. ↓, Snow V. ↑,
70', Lossec T. ↓, Heitaa M. ↑,
71', Shan M. ↓, Tiatia T. ↑,
73', Mathelon M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Gope-Fenepej G. ⚽,
83', Degrumelle M. ↓, Hapipi F. ↑,
84', Mathon B. ↓, Papaura F. ↑,
85', Jeno A. ↓, Waia G. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Waya L. ⚽,
90+3', Poma P. 🟥,

Preview

In this match New Caledonia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Caledonia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 1.6:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Caledonia
FIFA World Cup
16.11.24	Fiji - New Caledonia	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Solomon Islands - New Caledonia	2:3 ✺
10.10.24	New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea	3:1 ✺
Pacific Games Football
27.11.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Cook Islands - New Caledonia	0:8
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW
- Tahiti
FIFA World Cup
17.11.24	Tahiti - Vanuatu	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Samoa - Tahiti	0:3 ✺
10.10.24	New Zealand - Tahiti	3:0 ✺
OFC Nations Cup
29.06.24	Tahiti - Fiji	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	New Zealand - Tahiti	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
21.03.23	Tahiti - New Caledonia	0:2
OFC Nations Cup
05.06.16	Tahiti - New Caledonia	1:1
FIFA World Cup
26.03.13	New Caledonia - Tahiti	1:0
Friendly
26.09.12	New Caledonia - Tahiti	N/A
FIFA World Cup
12.09.12	Tahiti - New Caledonia	0:4

New Caledonia - Tahiti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide