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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution II 50.8%
Draw 24.4%
Philadelphia Union II 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
24.6%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
23.9%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Philadelphia Union II aligns with the current prediction.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Dahlin G. (C) 15. Shannon J. 5. Hughes K. 23. Mussenden J. 11. Zambrano C. 44. Azar L. 35. Oliveira C. 77. Wells M. 71. Jean Baptiste M. 21. Morgan M.
30. Holbrook P. (G) 41. De Paula M. 66. Sundstrom F. 40. Uzcategui R. (C) 68. Griffin J. 47. LeBlanc K. 93. Diop A. 36. Benitez O. 49. Ferreira W. 37. Korzeniowski S. 51. Jakupovic M.
Substitutes
70. Dixon D. 41. Fauth R. (G) 20. George S. 74. Katsell L. 91. Lapierre Z. (G) 67. Macedo J. 3. Mimy S. 72. Prajapati A. 17. Sasaki S.
42. Berthe M. 59. Gladstone T. 98. Judy A. (G) 53. Mendoza I. 46. Moore K. 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O. 45. Reed T. 54. Ruf J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
9', Hughes K. ↓, Katsell L. ↑,
9', 0 - 1, Griffin J. ⚽,
11', Zambrano C. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Morgan M. ⚽, Wells M. (A),
26', Korzeniowski S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 2, LeBlanc K. ⚽, Korzeniowski S. (A),
33', Wells M. 🟨,
45+1', Zambrano C. ↓, Prajapati A. ↑,
45+4', Wells M. 🟨,
45+12', Uzcategui R. ↓, Mendoza I. ↑,
45+13', Mendoza I. 🟨,
45+16', 2 - 2, Oliveira C. ⚽, Katsell L. (A),
45+18', 2 - 3, LeBlanc K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', De Paula M. ↓, Pratt O. ↑,
62', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
66', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. ⚽, Oliveira C. (A),
77', Benitez O. ↓, Berthe M. ↑,
77', Ferreira W. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
82', Morgan M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 3 - 4, Korzeniowski S. ⚽,
89', Mussenden J. 🟨,
90', Katsell L. ↓, George S. ↑,
90', Jean Baptiste M. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
90+5', Berthe M. 🟨,
90+7', Azar L. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England II won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, New England II is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, New England II won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, New England II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).
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Weinstein M. (G) 
Dahlin G. (C) 
Morgan M. 
Uzcategui R. (C) 
Benitez O. 
Mimy S. 
Sasaki S. 
Berthe M. 
Olivas S. 
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