The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City II 38.2%
Draw 24.9%
Philadelphia Union II 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24.6%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
23.8%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
New York City II - Philadelphia Union II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Romero T. (G) 82. Campos A. 23. Murray M. 53. Loiola J. 77. Lopez J. 15. Pierre K. 71. Molinari P. 83. Ponce J. 27. Flax C. (C) 93. Samb E. 99. Reid S.
30. Holbrook P. (G) 40. Uzcategui R. (C) 66. Sundstrom F. 41. De Paula M. 68. Griffin J. 53. Mendoza I. 36. Benitez O. 37. Korzeniowski S. 47. LeBlanc K. 77. Davis III E. 51. Jakupovic M.
Substitutes
56. Bilden J. 79. Danquah C. 46. de Souza G. 97. Duque D. 58. Martin E. 90. McDermott D. (G) 57. Suchecki J. 44. Sunjic L. 84. Vafiades N.
42. Berthe M. 93. Diop A. 49. Ferreira W. 59. Gladstone T. 46. Moore K. 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O. 38. Sequera G. 95. White M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Griffin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Mendoza I. (Own goal),
58', Korzeniowski S. 🟨,
63', Reid S. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
65', LeBlanc K. ↓, Sequera G. ↑,
66', Ponce J. 🟨,
67', Sequera G. 🟨,
69', Benitez O. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, De Paula M. ⚽,
82', Griffin J. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
82', Korzeniowski S. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
82', Mendoza I. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
85', Campos A. ↓, Sunjic L. ↑,
85', Samb E. ↓, Suchecki J. ↑,
90+1', Davis III E. ↓, Ferreira W. ↑,
90+5', Sunjic L. 🟨,
90+8', Benitez O. 🟨,
90+10', Loiola J. 🟨,
90+10', Moore K. 🟨,
90+10', Sequera G. 🟨,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Jakupovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Molinari P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Uzcategui R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pierre K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Moore K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suchecki J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ferreira W. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ponce J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, De Paula M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Lopez J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Sundstrom F. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Sunjic L. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Diop A. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Murray M. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Olivas S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Last Results with these Odds
New York City II - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Romero T. (G) 
Murray M. 
Loiola J. 
Reid S. 
Uzcategui R. (C) 
Benitez O. 
Danquah C. 
Berthe M. 
Olivas S. 
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