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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 45.9%
Draw 26.6%
Nottingham Forest 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
28.3%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.8%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tamminen A. (G) 25. Mannion A. (C) 12. Cooper D. 18. Torpey K. 2. Wardlaw C. 4. Nobbs J. 8. Kelly E. 11. Gregory F. 20. Sevenius O. 7. Gautrat M. 35. Murphy E.
1. Batty E. (G) 23. Smith K. 5. Mustaki C. 12. Hed E. 24. Brown C. 13. Rowe R. 8. Rodgers A. (C) 31. Murphy A. 33. Boye-Hlorkah C. 27. Kiernan L. 19. Omewa J.
Substitutes
15. Grec M. 27. Hawkins H. (G) 9. Hayles S. 22. Joel L. 14. Larsson E. 26. Lumsden B. 10. Pike M. 5. Purfield J. 3. Stokes D.
11. Almqvist T. 10. Claypole A. 29. Ferguson G. (G) 16. Green M. 3. Johnson N. 15. Olding H. 6. Rose D. 17. Thomas F. 14. Wellings C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Murphy A. ⚽,
38', Torpey K. 🟨,
38', Smith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Omewa J. ↓, Claypole A. ↑,
59', Gregory F. ↓, Lumsden B. ↑,
72', Rowe R. ↓, Almqvist T. ↑,
75', Sevenius O. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
75', Wardlaw C. ↓, Stokes D. ↑,
85', Gautrat M. ↓, Pike M. ↑,
85', Kelly E. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
86', Boye-Hlorkah C. ↓, Wellings C. ↑,
86', Kiernan L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Nobbs J. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).
Newcastle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Nottingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).