The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 62.1%
Draw 21.8%
Durham 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
21.5%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
16.6%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Nottingham Forest - Durham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Batty E. (G) 2. Stapleton J. 4. Brougham G. (C) 12. Hed E. 24. Brown C. 31. Murphy A. 8. Rodgers A. 33. Boye-Hlorkah C. 27. Kiernan L. 19. Omewa J. 13. Rowe R.
35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 15. Bradley D. 20. Foster M. 3. Briggs L. 4. Toland T. 8. Lambert M. 7. Hepple B. 9. Watson L. 47. Agg L.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist T. 10. Claypole A. 29. Ferguson G. (G) 16. Green M. 39. Hibbert-Johnson O. 15. Olding H. 6. Rose D. 23. Smith K. 14. Wellings C.
10. Blake H. 48. Collinson G. 16. Ede G. 27. Jones A. 13. King A. (G) 25. McFarland L. 6. Robson S. 17. Speckmaier M. 21. Stobbs A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Omewa J. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Boye-Hlorkah C. ⚽,
27', Stapleton J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
30', 2 - 1, Agg L. ⚽, Ayre G. (A),
39', Agg L. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Toland T. ↓, Stobbs A. ↑,
60', Omewa J. 🟨,
64', Omewa J. ↓, Claypole A. ↑,
75', Collinson G. ↓, Speckmaier M. ↑,
87', Kiernan L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
87', Boye-Hlorkah C. ↓, Wellings C. ↑,
87', Rowe R. ↓, Almqvist T. ↑,
90', Watson L. 🟨,
90+1', Brougham G. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Nottingham is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.