Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League 2

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Northumberland FA (Newcastle)

Referee: Watson D. (Eng)


	Newcastle United U21		Leicester City U21

	1	X	2
	2.46	4	2.25
	2.48	4.05	2.34
	2.48	4.13	2.38	Watch
	2.54	3.89	2.38	Watch
	2.46	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.01)	4.01 ↓ (4.06)	2.32 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
37.2%

Draw
23%

Leicester City U21
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

22.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

22.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle United U21's form might have worsened.

Leicester City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City U21 than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newcastle United U21 - Leicester City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taylor J. (G) 2. Shahar L. 5. Heffernan C. (C) 6. Thompson C. 3. Charlton D. 4. Bailey S. 8. Turner-Cooke J. 7. Emerson J. 10. Harrison A. 11. Kuol G. 9. Neave S.	1. French H. (G) 2. Joseph J. 4. Amartey B. 5. Ali M. 3. Aluko O. 6. Cartwright H. (C) 8. Braybrooke S. 7. Evans J. 10. Page L. 11. Briggs L. 9. King J.
Substitutes
15. Brayson J. 16. Ferreira M. 13. Jones T. (G) 12. Powell R. 14. Stanton E.	13. Donohue J. (G) 15. Fisken A. 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 14. Neale T. 16. Richards A.
Coaches
O'Carroll D.	McSweeney L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Evans J. ⚽, Cartwright H. (A),
15', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Neave S. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
45', Emerson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Neave S. ↓, Stanton E. ↑,
46', Shahar L. ↓, Powell R. ↑,
55', 1 - 3, Evans J. ⚽, Page L. (A),
57', 1 - 4, Page L. ⚽,
57', Emerson J. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
60', 1 - 5, Evans J. ⚽,
65', Aluko O. 🟨,
66', King J. ↓, Fisken A. ↑,
69', 2 - 5, Kuol G. ⚽,
70', Evans J. 🟨,
74', 3 - 5, Ferreira M. ⚽,
75', Page L. ↓, Neale T. ↑,
75', Ali M. ↓, Godsmark-Ford H. ↑,
77', Bailey S. ↓, Brayson J. ↑,
83', Briggs L. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 6, Neale T. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Newcastle U21 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
10.02.25	West Bromwich Albion U21 - Newcastle United U21	3:1 ✺
27.01.25	Newcastle United U21 - Everton U21	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Gateshead - Newcastle United U21	2:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
17.01.25	Southampton U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:2 ✺
16.12.24	Newcastle United U21 - Chelsea U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWLW
- Leicester City U21
English Premier League 2
07.02.25	Norwich City U21 - Leicester City U21	1:5 ✺
English Premier League Cup
31.01.25	Leicester City U21 - Coventry City U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
25.01.25	Leicester City U21 - Sunderland U21	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Leicester City U21	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Leicester City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
08.01.24	Leicester City U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:2

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