Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League 2

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Northumberland FA (Newcastle)

Referee: Aspinall R. (Eng)


	Newcastle United U21		West Ham United U21

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.2	1.6
	3.95	4.63	1.62
	4.23	4.72	1.62	Watch
	4.29	4.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.65)	4.44 ↓ (4.47)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
22.4%

Draw
20.7%

West Ham United U21
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

20.6%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.8%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

West Ham United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United U21 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Ham United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newcastle United U21 - West Ham United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harris A. (G) 2. Shahar L. 5. Heffernan C. (C) 6. McArthur C. 3. Murphy A. 8. Hernes T. 4. Munda A. 10. Turner-Cooke J. 7. Emerson J. 9. Parkinson B. 11. Sanusi T.	1. Herrick F. (G) 2. Battrum R. 5. Tarima S. 6. Luizao 3. Mayers E. 7. Moore S. 8. Orford L. (C) 4. Akpata T. 11. Adiele E. 9. Swyer K. 10. Scarles O.
Substitutes
16. Donaldson J. 15. Harrison A. 13. Janusz A. (G) 14. Stanton E. 12. Thompson C.	13. Abraham D. (G) 12. Ajala J. 16. Briggs J. 15. Fawunmi F. 14. Rigge D.
Coaches
Ross J.	Robson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Mayers E. 🟨,
21', 🟨,
43', Adiele E. ↓, Ajala J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Orford L. 🟨,
63', Akpata T. 🟨,
63', Munda A. ↓, Harrison A. ↑,
71', Emerson J. ↓, Donaldson J. ↑,
73', Moore S. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Swyer K. ⚽, Orford L. (A),
90', Scarles O. 🟨,
90+3', Tarima S. ↓, Briggs J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

West Ham U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Newcastle U21 have a series of guest games.

In this match West Ham U21 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Bradford City - Newcastle United U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League 2
30.08.24	Derby County U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Newcastle United U21	0:1 ✺
19.08.24	Newcastle United U21 - Sunderland U21	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	South Shields - Newcastle United U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WLWTT
- West Ham United U21
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Newport County - West Ham United U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.08.24	West Ham United U21 - Norwich City U21	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	West Ham United U21 - Southampton U21	5:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Reading - West Ham United U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
16.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - West Ham United U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League U21
11.03.16	Newcastle United U21 - West Ham United U21	1:4
21.09.15	West Ham United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:2

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