The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United U21 31.8%
Draw 22.7%
Sunderland U21 45.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.2%
24.1%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
23.2%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Newcastle United U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dowell R. (G) 2. Johnson H. 4. Watts L. 5. Pivas M. 3. Charlton D. 8. Miley M. 6. Bailey S. (C) 7. Emerson J. 10. Thompson K. 11. Ferreira M. 9. Ca A.
1. Allan I. (G) 2. Lienard A. 5. Neild J. 6. Kindon B. 3. Jones J. (C) 4. Whittaker J. 8. Munyakazi K. 7. Scott F. 10. Proctor T. 11. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 9. Angulo J.
Substitutes
12. Craggs L. 16. Fitzgerald K. 14. Koussou J. 15. Park Seung-soo 18. Salia V. 17. Seldon A. 13. Walpole A. (G)
17. Barker J. 16. Dinsdale C. 12. Hunt L. 18. Jones J. 14. Lightfoot A. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 15. Wilson C.
Coaches
Stockdale R.
Craddock M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Whittaker J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽, Proctor T. (A),
40', Jones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Angulo J. ↓, Dinsdale C. ↑,
48', Bailey S. 🟨,
49', Ferreira M. 🟨,
51', Ca A. ↓, Salia V. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Thompson K. ⚽,
59', Proctor T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Scott F. ⚽,
64', Dinsdale C. 🟨,
67', Emerson J. ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,
67', Thompson K. ↓, Fitzgerald K. ↑,
69', Ferreira M. ↓, Seldon A. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Park Seung-soo ⚽,
74', Kindon B. 🟨,
78', Miley M. ↓, Koussou J. ↑,
83', Scott F. ↓, Lightfoot A. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Salia V. ⚽,
88', Salia V. 🟨,
88', Jones J. ↓, Barker J. ↑,
90+1', Park Seung-soo 🟨,
90+1', Lienard A. 🟨,
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Newcastle U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Newcastle U21 has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle U21 has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newcastle U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Watch
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Dowell R. (G) 
Pivas M. 
Emerson J. 
Ca A. 
Lienard A. 
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 
Angulo J. 
Fitzgerald K. 
Park Seung-soo 
Salia V. 
Metcalf B. (G) 
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