The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United U21 43.6%
Draw 24.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
24.1%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
23.3%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United U21's performance.
Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newcastle United U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harris A. (G) 2. Watts L. 5. Thompson C. (C) 4. Pivas M. 3. Murphy A. 6. Finneran R. 8. Miley M. 7. Ferreira M. 10. Munda A. 11. Park Seung-soo 9. Neave S.
1. Brooks A. (G) 2. Okoduwa W. 5. Lochhead S. 4. Olagunju S. (C) 3. Lembikisa D. 7. Ashworth F. 6. Bradbury M. 8. Ji M. 11. Edozie T. 10. McLeod C. 9. Angel Enguru Mangue D.
Substitutes
15. Fitzgerald K. 13. Harrison A. (G) 12. Johnson H. 16. Mills M. 14. Yildiz B.
15. Anunlopo D. 13. Arnold A. (G) 14. Dayman M. 17. Marwa B. 12. White A.
Coaches
Stockdale R.
Collins J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, McLeod C. ⚽,
15', McLeod C. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Neave S. ⚽, Finneran R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Watts L. ↓, Johnson H. ↑,
62', Edozie T. ↓, Dayman M. ↑,
65', Miley M. ↓, Fitzgerald K. ↑,
69', McLeod C. ↓, Anunlopo D. ↑,
76', Ferreira M. ↓, Mills M. ↑,
82', Ji M. ↓, White A. ↑,
90+3', Dayman M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 25 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Newcastle U21 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Wolverhampton U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Wolverhampton U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Wolverhampton U21 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle U21 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).