The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester United U21 61.6%
Draw 18.9%
Newcastle United U21 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
18.1%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
17.3%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Manchester United U21 - Newcastle United U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Murdock W. (G) 2. Jackson L. 3. Aljofree S. (C) 4. Armer D. 5. Kukonki G. 8. McAllister F. 6. McCormack R. 11. Moorhouse J. 10. Fletcher J. 7. Musa V. 9. Obi C.
1. Harris A. (G) 2. Miley M. 5. Thompson C. (C) 4. Pivas M. 3. Charlton D. 8. Bailey S. 6. Finneran R. 7. Ferreira M. 10. Munda A. 11. Park Seung-soo 9. Neave S.
Substitutes
16. Ajayi N. 13. Byrne-Hughes C. (G) 15. Lusale S. 12. Overy J. 14. Thwaites J.
15. Fitzgerald K. 13. Harrison A. (G) 12. Johnson H. 16. Mills M. 14. Watts L.
Coaches
Lawrence A.
Stockdale R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽, Park Seung-soo (A),
8', 0 - 2, Neave S. ⚽, Miley M. (A),
33', Armer D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fletcher J. ↓, Thwaites J. ↑,
46', Jackson L. ↓, Overy J. ↑,
46', Obi C. ↓, Lusale S. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Musa V. ⚽, Thwaites J. (A),
57', Munda A. 🟨,
60', Finneran R. 🟨,
62', Charlton D. ↓, Johnson H. ↑,
62', McAllister F. ↓, Ajayi N. ↑,
73', Ferreira M. ↓, Mills M. ↑,
85', Park Seung-soo ↓, Fitzgerald K. ↑,
85', Miley M. ↓, Watts L. ↑,
89', Bailey S. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 3, Munda A. ⚽, Neave S. (A),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 23).
Man Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Man Utd U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Newcastle U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Newcastle U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Man Utd U21 is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Man Utd U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Man Utd U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.