The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 26.9%
Draw 29.9%
Banfield 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.6%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
24.3%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newells Old Boys - Banfield Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Zambrano Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
Newells Old Boys has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Banfield is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Banfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).