Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday


	Newells Old Boys 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.15	3.25	2.05
	3.47	2.91	2.21
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.26	3.28	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
27.7%

Draw
28.1%

River Plate 2
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	15.8%	42.1%

Newells Old Boys 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys 2 will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). River Plate 2 will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys 2: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Play Offs)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

River Plate 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Newell's Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.08.22	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2 ✺
28.07.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
18.07.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1 ✺
14.07.22	Racing Club 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWWT
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.08.22	River Plate 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.07.22	River Plate 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
20.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	1:3 ✺
16.07.22	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
19.02.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - River Plate 2	1:2

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