Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 6

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)


	Newry City		Armagh City

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.10	6.25
	1.38	4	6.4
	1.37	4.47	6.2
	1.41	4.57	6.37	Watch
	1.35	4.4	6.1
	1.44	4.35	6.89
	1.4	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	4.3 ↑ (3.89)	6.32 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
64.7%

Draw
21%

Armagh City
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newry City's performance.

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Newry City - Armagh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 15 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newry City won 0.

Armagh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Newry City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newry City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Newry City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Newry City	10	4	3	3	16:18	-2	15
16	Armagh	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
29.08.26	Institute FC - Newry City	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Newry City - Bangor	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
02.12.25	Newry City - Linfield	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
21.11.25	Newry City - Drumaness Mills	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWLL
- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
28.08.26	Moyola Park - Armagh City	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Armagh City - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
21.04.26	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	6:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dundela - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
12.04.25	Armagh City - Newry City	4:1
30.12.24	Newry City - Armagh City	1:1
08.11.24	Newry City - Armagh City	1:1
24.08.24	Armagh City - Newry City	3:3
Club Friendly
11.07.23	Armagh City - Newry City	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
05.05.17	Armagh City - Newry City	1:3

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