Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional de Futbol (Managua)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Panama	RPC
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Nicaragua		Haiti

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.41	3.46	2.13
	3.63	3.37	1.99	Watch
	3.42	3.42	2.19	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicaragua
26.5%

Draw
27.9%

Haiti
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.6%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicaragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Haiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Nicaragua - Haiti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nicaragua will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Haiti will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nicaragua: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nicaragua (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Haiti (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Haiti (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nicaragua (votes: 4 - 50%). Haiti (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez M. (G) SJK 2. Quijano J. Esteli 4. Nino H. Esteli 5. Cano J. Diriangen 3. Acevedo O. Esteli 10. Bonilla B. Esteli 17. Moldskred M. Esteli 18. Hernandez B. Esteli 21. Reyes C. Liberia 11. Barrera J. (C) Managua FC 7. Smith A. FK Panevezys	1. Placide J. (C) Bastia 2. Arcus C. Angers 4. Ade R. LDU Quito 22. Duverne J. Gent 13. Lacroix D. Colorado Springs 10. Bellegarde J. Wolves 21. Casimir J. Auxerre 17. Jean Jacques D. Philadelphia Union 15. Providence R. Almere City 20. Pierrot F. AEK 9. Nazon D. Esteghlal TEH
Substitutes
16. Arteaga J. Diriangen 14. Coronel J. Diriangen 15. Delgado J. Managua FC 9. Garcia J. Matagalpa 6. Gomez E. UMECIT 8. Jacob Montes RWDM Brussels 12. Lopez A. (G) Managua FC 19. Martinez E. J. Esteli 23. Mayorga B. (G) UNAN-Managua 20. Moncada J. Diriangen 13. Talavera W. Esteli 22. Velásquez A. UNAN-Managua	23. Algarin T. (G) 11. Deedson L. FC Dallas 5. Delcroix H. Burnley 12. Duverger J. (G) Cosmos Koblenz 7. Etienne D. Toronto FC 8. Experience M. Nancy 6. Metusala G. Colorado Springs 16. Pacius W. Tampa Bay 14. Pierre L. Vizela 18. Sainte C. F. Phoenix Rising 3. Thermoncy K.
Coaches
Figueroa M. A.	Migne S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Nazon D. ⚽,
33', Reyes C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Jean Jacques D. ⚽, Bellegarde J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moldskred M. ↓, Jacob Montes ↑,
46', Nino H. ↓, Arteaga J. ↑,
54', Arcus C. 🟨,
67', Providence R. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
67', Bonilla B. ↓, Velásquez A. ↑,
68', Smith A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
80', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
82', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
82', Casimir J. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
82', Nazon D. ↓, Deedson L. ↑,
83', Acevedo O. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Deedson L. ⚽, Lacroix D. (A),
90+4', Arcus C. ↓, Thermoncy K. ↑,

Preview

Haiti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nicaragua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicaragua
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Honduras - Nicaragua	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Nicaragua - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
10.06.25	Panama - Nicaragua	3:0 ✺
06.06.25	Nicaragua - Guyana	1:0 ✺
Gold Cup
25.03.25	Nicaragua - Guadeloupe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWL
- Haiti
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Costa Rica - Haiti	3:3 ✺
05.09.25	Haiti - Honduras	0:0 ✺
Gold Cup
22.06.25	USA - Haiti	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Trinidad & Tobago - Haiti	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Haiti - Saudi Arabia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
08.06.21	Haiti - Nicaragua	1:0
Gold Cup
20.06.19	Nicaragua - Haiti	0:2
CONCACAF Nations League
17.11.18	Nicaragua - Haiti	0:2
Gold Cup
28.03.17	Nicaragua - Haiti	3:0
24.03.17	Haiti - Nicaragua	3:1

Nicaragua - Haiti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide