The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niger Tornadoes 53.4%
Draw 28.2%
Kwara United 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
26%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
26.2%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niger Tornadoes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niger Tornadoes's form might have worsened.
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niger Tornadoes than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niger Tornadoes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nchekwube I. (G) 13. Ahmadu L. 5. Akinmoladun S. 7. Dabai A. 20. Dalhatu A. 15. Family A. 18. Khalid A. 4. Sabiu I. 12. Saidu I. 9. Sarki I. 24. Shimagande T.
1. Ayeleso S. (G) 6. Abutu G. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 2. Bright B. 20. Gidado T. 25. Ibrahim Y. 12. Kabiru M. 34. Ogbonna A. 15. Olanrewaju A. 8. Shola A.
Substitutes
38. Godfrey J. 30. Godwin J. 3. Goyi M. 11. Lawal T. 40. Mendos R. 19. Nelson M. 14. Okoye I. 35. Suleiman A. (G) 32. Usman B.
. Abdulsalam A. . Afeez M. . Alao M. . Gata A. . Mohammed S. . Nurudeen B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Dabai A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Bright B. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
33', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Akanni A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Sarki I. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+10', 🟥,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niger Tornadoes won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Kwara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Niger Tornadoes is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Niger Tornadoes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Niger Tornadoes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).