Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Nigeria W		South Africa W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.2	5	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.4
	1.67	3.31	6.27
	1.77	3.03	5.53	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.67	3.22	5.29
	1.99	2.85	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.07)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	5.22 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nigeria W
53.2%

Draw
29.3%

South Africa W
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

31.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria W's performance.

South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria W than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nigeria W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nigeria W - South Africa W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - South Africa (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - South Africa (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nigeria W will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 2 - 50%). South Africa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nnadozie C. (G) Paris FC 22. Alozie M. Houston Dash 3. Ohale O. Pachuca 14. Demehin O. 5. Plumptre A. 15. Ajibade R. (C) Atl. Madrid 18. Ayinde H. Rosengard 12. Echegini J. PSG 20. Ijamilusi F. Liaoning 6. Okoronkwo E. Changchun Dazhong 19. Ihezuo C. Pachuca	16. Dlamini A. (G) Mamelodi Sundowns 5. Magama F. Western Cape University 17. Makhubela T. Mamelodi Sundowns 13. Mbane B. Mamelodi Sundowns 7. Dhlamini K. Mamelodi Sundowns 2. Ramalepe L. Mamelodi Sundowns 10. Motlhalo L. Glasgow City 15. Jane R. (C) 3. Gamede B. Nordsjaelland 9. Salgado G. 12. Seoposenwe J. Monterrey
Substitutes
13. Abiodun D. Dallas Trinity 2. Babajide R. Costa Adeje Tenerife 11. Isah S. 24. Okafor C. 4. Oladipo S. AS Roma 1. Oluehi T. (G) Medkila 9. Onumonu I. Montpellier 8. Oshoala A. Bay FC 7. Oyedupe Payne A. Everton 10. Ucheibe C. SL Benfica	6. Cesane N. Mazatlan FC 23. Donnelly R. Western Cape University 18. Holweni S. Western Cape University 21. Magagula D. (G) 8. Magaia H. Club Tijuana 19. Mhlongo L. Western Cape University 4. Mogolola R. Mamelodi Sundowns 11. Mohlakoana K. Mazembe 14. Mthandi N. Mamelodi Sundowns 1. Swart K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Makhubela T. ↓, Magaia H. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Ajibade R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Motlhalo L. ⚽,
61', Ramalepe L. ↓, Cesane N. ↑,
65', Echegini J. ↓, Ucheibe C. ↑,
75', Ayinde H. 🟨,
81', Ayinde H. ↓, Abiodun D. ↑,
89', Salgado G. ↓, Holweni S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Alozie M. ⚽, Okoronkwo E. (A),
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Nigeria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nigeria is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nigeria W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
18.07.25	Nigeria W - Zambia W	5:0 ✺
13.07.25	Nigeria W - Algeria W	0:0 ✺
10.07.25	Botswana W - Nigeria W	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Nigeria W - Tunisia W	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
29.06.25	Nigeria W - Ghana W	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW
- South Africa W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
19.07.25	South Africa W - Senegal W	1:0 penalties ✺
14.07.25	South Africa W - Mali W	4:0 ✺
11.07.25	Tanzania W - South Africa W	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	South Africa W - Ghana W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
03.06.25	South Africa W - Zambia W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football Women
09.04.24	South Africa W - Nigeria W	0:0
05.04.24	Nigeria W - South Africa W	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations Women
04.07.22	Nigeria W - South Africa W	1:2
Friendly International Women
21.09.21	Nigeria W - South Africa W	2:4
International Tournament Cyprus Football Women
06.03.19	Nigeria W - South Africa W	Canceled
Africa Cup of Nations Women
01.12.18	Nigeria W - South Africa W	1:0 penalties
18.11.18	Nigeria W - South Africa W	0:1

Nigeria W - South Africa W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide