Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ningbo Cixi Stadium (Ningbo)


	Ningbo Professional		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	2.3	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3.41	2.82
	2.26	3.2	3.19	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.44	3.32	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ningbo Professional
37.5%

Draw
28.8%

Changchun Yatai
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

30.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ningbo Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ningbo Professional's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ningbo Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ningbo Professional - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ningbo Professional will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lin Xiang (G) 5. Yao Diran (C) 20. Qi Xinlei 30. Liu Yang 11. Liu Yue 8. Leo Cittadini 19. Gao Haisheng 23. Bai Jiajun 7. Pang K. 9. Men Yang 31. Solomon-Otabor V.	13. Dong Yifan (G) 14. JIng Boxi 27. Reiner C. 41. Wu Junjie 35. Jiang Zilei 25. Chen Xuhuang 33. Sun Guoliang 6. Li Qiang 7. Salazar J. 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O.
Substitutes
32. Aidi 37. Chen Hao-Wei 38. Chen X. (G) 10. Leonardo 21. Lin Wenkai 14. Liu Shuai 39. Long J. 25. Qu Geping 2. Shang K. 26. Su Shihao 17. Zhou Junchen 33. Zhu Baojie	1. An Z. (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 44. Fan Chao 19. Geng Taili 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 36. Lu K. 18. Lu Pin 17. Muhamet 8. Wu Zhicheng 24. Yan Zhiyu
Coaches
Weifeng L.	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Gao Haisheng ⚽, Solomon-Otabor V. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Jiang Zilei (A),
14', 2 - 1, Leo Cittadini ⚽, Solomon-Otabor V. (A),
35', 3 - 1, Men Yang ⚽, Pang K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sun Guoliang ↓, Yan Zhiyu ↑,
63', Li Qiang ↓, Lu Pin ↑,
78', Salazar J. ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
78', Jiang Zilei ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
81', Leo Cittadini ↓, Leonardo ↑,
83', Men Yang ↓, Lin Wenkai ↑,
86', Tan Long ↓, Geng Taili ↑,
90+3', Liu Yue ↓, Shang K. ↑,
90+3', Bai Jiajun ↓, Su Shihao ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).

Recent form of Ningbo Professional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Changchun Yatai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Changchun Yatai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Changchun Yatai could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
10	Ningbo Professional	25	9	5	11	27:31	-4	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Meizhou Hakka - Ningbo Professional	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ningbo Professional - Wuxi Wugou	2:3 ✺
20.03.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
26.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

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