Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 25

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Changchun Yatai		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.93
	1.72	3.78	4.59	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.71	4	4.69	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.84 ↑ (3.81)	4.65 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
55.3%

Draw
24.5%

Nantong Zhiyun
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Changchun Yatai - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 34. He Yiran 19. Liao Chengjian 35. Wang Yu 16. Tudi Dilyimit 10. Serginho (C) 9. Beric R. 29. Tan Long	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin (C) 16. Puclin D. 30. Rosa F. 29. Zheng Haoqian 17. Ji Shengpan 10. Kallon I. 38. Lu Yongtao
Substitutes
2. Abdugheni A. 30. Abdusalam S. 25. He Zhenyu 36. Jiang Wenhao 32. Sun Guoliang 15. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 24. Yan Zhiyu 26. Yuan Mincheng 6. Zhang Huachen 20. Zhang Yufeng	25. Cao Kang 9. Godinez J. 37. Jia B. 24. Liang Shaowen 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 5. Ma Sheng 36. Qiu Zhongyi 13. Song Haoyu 2. Wei Lai 26. Ye Daochi
Coaches
Xie Hui	Patricio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Wu Yake ↓, Wang Zhifeng ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Li Shenyuan (A),
36', 1 - 1, Kallon I. ⚽, Rosa F. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Jiang Zilei ⚽,
45+1', Liao Lei 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Liao Chengjian ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
51', Tudi Dilyimit 🟨,
53', Ji Shengpan 🟨,
67', Ji Shengpan ↓, Godinez J. ↑,
68', He Yiran ↓, Yan Zhiyu ↑,
70', Anthony I. 🟨,
74', Jiang Zilei ↓, Song Haoyu ↑,
74', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Beric R. ⚽, Serginho (A),
82', Lu Yongtao ↓, Cao Kang ↑,
82', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
82', Wang Yu ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
89', Zhang Yufeng 🟨,
90+1', Song Haoyu 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Tian Yuda ⚽,
90+3', Luo Xin 🟨,
90+5', Luo Xin 🟨,
90+8', Zhang Huachen 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 3.

Recent matches Changchun Yatai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantong Zhiyun has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Changchun Yatai is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
17.08.24	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	4:0 ✺
27.07.24	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
16.08.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Nantong Zhiyun	5:1 ✺
04.08.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
26.07.24	Shanghai Port - Nantong Zhiyun	8:1 ✺
21.07.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	2:3
04.08.23	Changchun Yatai - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
06.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:1
Chinese Jia League
08.10.20	Changchun Yatai - Nantong Zhiyun	4:0
20.09.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:0
20.07.19	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:1
Chinese FA Cup
16.04.19	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:1

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