Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 24

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Niroye Zamini		Damash Gilan

	1	X	2
	1.94	2.84	4.59	Watch
	1.9	2.79	4.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	4.61 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niroye Zamini
47.6%

Draw
32.5%

Damash Gilan
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

31.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niroye Zamini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Damash Gilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niroye Zamini than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Niroye Zamini - Damash Gilan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Niroye Zamini has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Damash Gilan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Damash Gilan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Niroye Zamini is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niroye Zamini won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Niroye Zamini won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Niroye Zamini	7	1	1	5	4:10	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niroye Zamini
Iran Division 1
21.02.26	Besat Kermanshah - Niroye Zamini	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Niroye Zamini - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Niroye Zamini - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Palayesh Naft - Niroye Zamini	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Niroye Zamini - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLTT
- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
22.02.26	Damash Gilan - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	SaiPa - Damash Gilan	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Damash Gilan - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Damash Gilan - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Damash Gilan - Palayesh Naft	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
06.10.25	Damash Gilan - Niroye Zamini	1:1
23.01.25	Niroye Zamini - Damash Gilan	1:1
09.09.24	Damash Gilan - Niroye Zamini	0:0
25.07.20	Damash Gilan - Niroye Zamini	2:1
23.11.19	Niroye Zamini - Damash Gilan	1:0

Niroye Zamini - Damash Gilan