Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	SaiPa		Damash Gilan

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.64	3.28	5.79	Watch
	1.66	3.1	5.67	Watch
	1.66	3.1	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	5.45 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
54.6%

Draw
28.8%

Damash Gilan
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

28.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

26.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Damash Gilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

SaiPa - Damash Gilan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - SaiPa (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.

SaiPa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damash Gilan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.

We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saipa	4	3	0	1	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
09.02.26	Niroye Zamini - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	SaiPa - Besat Kermanshah	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
08.02.26	Damash Gilan - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Damash Gilan - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Damash Gilan - Palayesh Naft	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Sanat Naft - Damash Gilan	4:0 ✺
26.12.25	Fard Alborz - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
24.09.25	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:2
06.04.25	SaiPa - Damash Gilan	2:1
10.11.24	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:0
10.06.24	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	2:2
20.12.23	SaiPa - Damash Gilan	1:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
29.09.19	SaiPa - Damash Gilan	2:1
29.01.19	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	2:1

SaiPa - Damash Gilan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide