Match Info

Youth League - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Nizhny Novgorod U19		Krasnodar U19

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.7	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.75 ↑ (7.55)	4.7 ↑ (4.65)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod U19
11.7%

Draw
19.4%

Krasnodar U19
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

19.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

18.7%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Krasnodar U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod U19 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar U19 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krasnodar U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 4)
4', 1 - 0, Fedorov M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Polevoy A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, Tsarkov E. ⚽,
20', 2 - 2, Sumachev R. ⚽,
38', 2 - 3, Dryakhlov A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 2 - 4, Sumachev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
50', 2 - 5, Ambartsumov D. ⚽,
52', 2 - 6, Ambartsumov D. ⚽,
64', 2 - 7, Guseynov E. ⚽,
84', 2 - 8, Ambartsumov D. ⚽,
90', 2 - 9, Semizarov O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation) and 2).

Nizhny Novgorod U19 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krasnodar U19 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Krasnodar U19 is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nizhny Novgorod U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar U19	24	17	2	5	72:36	36	53
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	24	5	4	15	29:64	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod U19
Russian Youth League
15.05.26	Rostov U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Rodina U19	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Chertanovo U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:5 ✺
17.04.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLLW
- FC Krasnodar U19
Russian Youth League
15.05.26	Krasnodar U19 - Almaz-Antey U19	8:0 ✺
07.05.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Krasnodar U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala U19 - Krasnodar U19	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Krasnodar U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
15.08.25	Krasnodar U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	2:0
04.04.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krasnodar U19	0:3
01.12.23	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krasnodar U19	1:0
20.05.22	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Krasnodar U19	0:3
15.04.22	Krasnodar U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	4:0

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