Match Info

ZAMBIA: Super League - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Nkana		Forest Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.5
	1.77	3.05	4.7
	1.77	3.13	4.87	Watch
	1.78	3.04	4.8
	1.77	3.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.1)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	4.71 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nkana
51.1%

Draw
29.7%

Forest Rangers
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nkana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nkana's performance.

Forest Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forest Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nkana than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nkana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nkana - Forest Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Gondwe P. ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, Mbombo I. I. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nkana FC
Zambian Premier League
02.11.24	Nkana - Red Arrows	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	Mufulira Wanderers - Nkana	1:3 ✺
23.10.24	Nkana - Nchanga Rangers	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Green Eagles - Nkana	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Atletico Lusaka - Nkana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLL
- Forest Rangers
Zambian Premier League
02.11.24	NAPSA Stars - Forest Rangers	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Forest Rangers - ZESCO United	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Mutondo Stars - Forest Rangers	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Forest Rangers - Lumwana Radiants	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Kabwe Warriors - Forest Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
24.02.24	Nkana - Forest Rangers	1:1
23.09.23	Forest Rangers - Nkana	1:0
25.02.23	Forest Rangers - Nkana	1:3
15.10.22	Nkana - Forest Rangers	1:1
17.04.22	Forest Rangers - Nkana	1:1
04.12.21	Nkana - Forest Rangers	2:0
08.04.21	Nkana - Forest Rangers	1:2

Nkana - Forest Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide