Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Nocerina		Barletta

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.9
	3.8	3	1.9
	4.23	3.09	1.81
	3.75	3.25	1.91
	4.85	3.15	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.68)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
22.2%

Draw
29.2%

Barletta
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

29.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Barletta aligns with the current prediction.

Nocerina - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

Nocerina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barletta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Barletta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nocerina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Nocerina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.02.23	Città di Brindisi - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Nocerina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Nocerina - Casarano	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Lavello - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Nocerina - Martina Calcio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.02.23	Barletta - Gravina	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Martina Calcio - Barletta	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Barletta - Bitonto	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Francavilla - Barletta	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Barletta - Cavese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.10.22	Barletta - Nocerina	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
14.12.13	Barletta - Nocerina	0:0
03.02.13	Nocerina - Barletta	4:0

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