Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Nocerina		Martina Calcio

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.74	3.45	4.3
	1.76	3.29	4.01
	1.76	3.52	4.21	Watch
	1.73	3.34	4.53
	1.74	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	4.23 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
51.8%

Draw
26.8%

Martina Calcio
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Martina Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Nocerina - Martina Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, De Angelis R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Felleca F. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Fraraccio F. ⚽,

Preview

Nocerina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Martina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Nocerina has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nocerina is considered a favorite.

We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nocerina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.05.25	Nocerina - Città di Fasano	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Nocerina - Angri	6:0 ✺
17.04.25	Virtus Francavilla - Nocerina	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Nocerina - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Martina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.05.25	Martina Calcio - Fidelis Andria	2:2 ET ✺
27.04.25	Fidelis Andria - Martina Calcio	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Martina Calcio - Francavilla	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ugento - Martina Calcio	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Martina Calcio - Nardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.03.25	Martina Calcio - Nocerina	0:0
10.11.24	Nocerina - Martina Calcio	0:2
22.01.23	Nocerina - Martina Calcio	0:1
18.09.22	Martina Calcio - Nocerina	0:1

Nocerina - Martina Calcio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide