Match Info
ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 17Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nocerina |
|
Matera |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.25 |
3.85 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.19 |
3.67 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.28 |
3.83 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.2 |
4 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.24 |
3.67 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.25 |
3.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.23) |
3.22 ↑
(3.15) |
3.78 ↑
(2.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nocerina
47.8% | Draw
28.2% | Matera
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nocerina's performance.Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nocerina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nocerina - Matera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Bollino M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 68', 1 - 1, Di Piazza M. (Pen),
- 75', 2 - 1, Felleca F. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, Di Piazza M. ⚽,
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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