Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Nocerina		Turris

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.22	3.05	2.9
	2.21	3.3	2.9
	2.26	3.17	2.99	Watch
	2.16	3	2.8
	2.21	3.1	3
	2.26	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	2.92 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
40.6%

Draw
28.7%

Turris
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Nocerina - Turris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Santaniello E. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Ragosta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nocerina holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Nocerina has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nocerina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Nocerina - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Turris - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.10.26	Melfi - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bisceglie - Nocerina	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Nocerina - Ischia Isolaverde	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Manfredonia - Nocerina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWT
- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.10.26	Gladiator - Turris	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Turris - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Città di Brindisi - Turris	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Turris - Gravina	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Palmese 1914 - Turris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.08.23	Turris - Nocerina	3:2
07.08.22	Nocerina - Turris	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.04.19	Turris - Nocerina	4:0
16.12.18	Nocerina - Turris	0:0

Nocerina - Turris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide