Match Info

Date: 1 April 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Nola		Carbonia

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Nola
30%

Draw
29.4%

Carbonia
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

21%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Carbonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carbonia than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carbonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carbonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.03.21	Nuova Monterosi - Nola	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Nola - Nocerina	2:2 ✺
07.03.21	Muravera - Nola	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Nola - Arzachena	1:0 ✺
24.02.21	Latina - Nola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWWL
- Carbonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.03.21	Carbonia - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
21.03.21	Savoia - Carbonia	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Gladiator - Carbonia	2:4 ✺
24.02.21	Carbonia - Lanusei	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Sassari Torres - Carbonia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Italian Serie D - Group G
13.12.20	Carbonia - Nola	1:1

Nola - Carbonia