The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nola 45.1%
Draw 28%
Arzachena 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.8%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
33%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nola's performance.
Arzachena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nola than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
Nola is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arzachena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nola will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Nola won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Nola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.