Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Hapoel Ashkelon

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.66	3.84	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.62 ↓ (3.74)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
53.8%

Draw
25.1%

Hapoel Ashkelon
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hapoel Ashkelon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nordia Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ashkelon than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Nordia Jerusalem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ashkelon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nordia Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nordia Jerusalem is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nordia Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordia Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.01.22	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
14.01.22	Dimona - Nordia Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
07.01.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:5 ✺
31.12.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLLT
- Hapoel Ashkelon
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.01.22	Hapoel Ashkelon - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:2 ✺
14.01.22	Hapoel Ashkelon - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:2 ✺
07.01.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Ashkelon	2:1 ✺
31.12.21	Hapoel Ashkelon - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	0:3 ✺
23.12.21	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Ashkelon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
08.10.21	Hapoel Ashkelon - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1
04.05.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Ashkelon	4:2
05.03.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Ashkelon	1:1
01.12.20	Hapoel Ashkelon - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0

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